Începe haosul organizat în spaţiul dintre Cele Trei Mări?

Patru mări, dacă punem şi Marea Caspică. 

Arţakh, Belarus, Kârgâzstan, în pregătire Repmoldova, ceva mai soft Bulgaria şi două-trei mai nebăgate în seamă dar amintite aici (Slovacia, Cehia, Ungaria). Mă mir că nu şi Polonia - deşi n-ar trebui să mă mir: aia-i bază de-a Licuriciului, i-a prostit pe polaci să devină ţinte fixe. Dintre cei patru vişegrazi, doar Ungaria mai are capacitatea 100%, ceilalţi trei au căpătat diverse grade de handicap.

Hungarian Spectrum este un site ţinut de-o hoaşcă cu afiliere Soros (Eva Balogh), emigrată în America (post-'56) şi lăudată de "naţionalistul" Dorin Suciu (ca vechi hungarist-analist ce se pretinde, dacă "încă n-a aflat" ce-i acolo nu mai e prostie ci altceva). "Spectrum", adică spectru politic, nu ceva "propriu-zis" horror.

Political troubles in Slovakia and the Czech Republic. Is Hungary next?

[...]  Football hooligans gathered in Bratislava to demonstrate against the restrictions. They were joined by like-minded citizens, including members of parliament representing ĽSNS, the far-right party of Marian Kotleba. The demonstration got out of hand, and, at the end, the police managed to disperse the crowd only with water cannons, teargas, and dogs.

As Botond Bőtös, a Hungarian commentator living in Prague, notes in his article for Átlátszó, although the demonstration in Bratislava began with football hooligans, the majority of the demonstrators were working-class people who, due to the restrictions, are jobless and extremely unhappy with the government. Moreover, even  members of the Matovič cabinet were critical of the heavy-handed police action. Six months ago Péter Hunčik predicted that the present Slovak government would last for two years, but by now he believes that the coalition will collapse within the next six months.

On Sunday, a similar violent demonstration took place in Prague, which Botond Bőtös watched on video at home. Many of the demonstrators were clearly football and hockey fans. Their intended target was Roman Prymula, the minister of health who happens to be an epidemiologist. But since he wasn’t there, the demonstrators attacked policemen with flagpoles, stones, bottles, and garbage cans instead.

Given the extremely serious medical situation in the Czech Republic, this kind of irresponsible behavior was roundly condemned by most people, irrespective of political orientation. The fact remains, however, that the government of Andrej Babiš badly mishandled the situation by postponing decisions that should have been made earlier. As a result, Babiš’s party, ANO 2011, according to the latest Kantar polling, has lost support while other parties have registered considerable gains. The Czech prime minister also has a serious credibility problem. According to recent polls, only one-third of Czechs trust the prime minister when it comes to the pandemic. Instead, they believe the new minister of health.

I see a similar situation developing in Hungary. Viktor Orbán, the “vezérlő tábornok” (commanding general) as his detractors call him, from the very first assumed the role of the dominant authority who oversaw all aspects of the war against the virus. That worked in his political favor during the spring when the pandemic was charitable to Hungary. And indeed, Fidesz’s popularity ticked up a few percentage points during those months. Then came the time of overconfidence and self-congratulation — until August and September. By that time, Orbán had made up his mind to follow Donald Trump’s unsuccessful strategy, to ignore the pandemic and return the country to normal economic life. Except that the virus didn’t cooperate. Orbán is still hoping to postpone the kinds of decisions that prompted violent demonstrations in Bratislava and Prague, but the number of COVID cases is steadily growing, and what is even more worrying is the large number of deaths.

Hungarians are increasingly seeing the government as helpless and are believing less and less in its veracity. Gáspár Miklós Tamás (TGM), who is inclined to be a pessimist, announced on Klubrádió that “the power of Viktor Orbán is broken.” Even if he gets reelected, he will no longer be the leader he used to be because people no longer respect him or look up to him. Hungarians “simply tolerate the government.” But if the chaotic handling of the pandemic continues, this toleration may vanish sooner than we think.