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Paper No. 25
- Foreword by Sir Richard Body MP
- Overview
- Stalinist Spinelli Fights Mussolini
- A Revolutionary Prison
- Escape, to Plan for Peace
- In Secret
- Campaigning Begins
- Federalism Takes-off
- Spinelli Defeats Thatcher
- Victory In Sight
- Notes
EUROPEAN REFORM FORUM
Third Plenary Session
Mad Map to Leave Britain in Bits
- Mad map to leave Britain in bits (The Sun, 2006)
THE FEDERALIST:
"The Federalist
was founded in 1959 by Mario Albertini toghether with a group of
members of the Movimento Federalista Europeo and is now published in
English and Italian. The review is based on the principles of
federalism, on the rejection of any exclusive concept of the nation and
on the hypothesis that the supranational era of the history of mankind
has begun. The primary value The Federalist aims to serve is peace".
The
post-war period is finally over. The international order, which
governed the world from the end of the Second World War, is undergoing
an irreversible decline: a new era has begun in world politics, in which
co-operation replaces antagonism and disarmament is taking the place of
the arms race. And all this is due to the new Soviet strategic
thinking, which has been at least partly accepted by the United States
government. This new tendency has not been brought about by good will
alone, but above all by necessity. The United States and the Soviet
Union cannot continue to bear the cost of the arms race and military
confrontation. The basis of this new tendency is the contradiction
between the national dimensions of political power and the
internationalization of the productive process.
On
the one hand, interdependence reflects objective needs, which are vital
for the survival of mankind: safety from the threat of nuclear war,
protection of the environment, and the overcoming of the Third World’s
underdevelopment. These global problems require a high level of
cooperation in specific areas to solve common problems.
On
the other hand, the sovereign state has become incapable of solving
problems with an international dimension on its own. In consequence,
countries are forced to co-operate. “Unite or perish”, said Aristide
Briand in the period between the two wars, referring to the European
nation-states. This saying is now applicable to the superpowers. The
crisis of the sovereign state is, essentially, the root of the process
of detente and co-operation, and is a preliminary to world unification.
Europe is the laboratory of this process.
Europe
was the battleground of the two World Wars; Europe has the highest
concentration of troops and armaments; Europe is the centre of gravity
for the USSR-USA’s balance of power. Successful detente between East and
West and successful international co-operation in Europe will have
universal significance. Here the new model of reciprocal security (based
on a non-offensive defence system) ought to show Europe’s ability to
transcend the East-West conflict and to allow for the dismantling of the
two blocs.
It
was on European territory that interdependence and the crisis of the
nation-state started off the process of nations uniting from the end of
the Second World War on, and here that new institutions were tried out
to control this process.
This
process however is broader than the confines of the European continent,
for it affects every part of the world where the state has not yet
reached continental dimensions (Africa, the Arab world, Latin America,
etc.). But the European Community is a model, because it has reached the
most advanced stage of integration.
At
the same time, the process of democratization, which is determining the
change of political regime in the Soviet Union and in Eastern Europe,
exerts a strong influence on world politics. The contrast between
communism and democracy is becoming obsolete, as is the East-West
conflict, particularly that between Eastern and Western Europe.
While
the prospect of the European Community’s transformation into an
economic, monetary and political union is coming closer, a new and
broader process of unification is starting. The design for a European
Common Home, which includes the United States and the Soviet Union,
opens up great new prospects: the possibility of overcoming the division
between the two halves of Europe, of dismantling the iron curtain and
the military blocs, and of experimenting with a new international order
in Europe, based on a co-operative model of international relations.
The
participation of the superpowers (and in particular of the United
States, which are not a European country, and of the Soviet Union, which
is a European and Asiatic power) is essential to a solid foundation for
the European Common Home. The fact is that it is on them above all that
the demilitarization of East-West relations depends (in other words the
transformation of military blocs into political alliances); and this is
the starting point for the development of Pan-European co-operation.
It
has to be emphasized that disarmament is a precondition for economic
co-operation. The analogy with European integration is instructive: the
formation of a united economic zone came as a result of the end of
military conflict, with American dominance over Western Europe. This
means that the European Common Home will be above all the home of common
security – the institutionalization of the Helsinki process. This is
the reason why Japan is not included in the European Common Home: it is
already disarmed, and has thus already satisfied the conditions for
joining the new universal system of security. On the other hand, Japan’s
participation is indispensable in formulating plans for the creation of
a just international economic order.
Economic
co-operation, which is necessary to create this new international
order, could develop on the basis of the convergence of interests of the
superpowers. Co-operation and integration will in the first place
affect the EEC and Comecon. But the economies of the Eastern countries
are not yet ready to compete on the world market. First, the Comecon has
to become a free trading zone and to reform its structures along EEC
lines, in order that it may integrate more closely. In a world in which
large markets represent an indispensable condition for participation in a
new phase of economic development, a national way to perestroika
does not exist. The first objective to seek in this direction is
establishing trade between Comecon countries at world prices, paid in
hard currency. The Prime Minister of the Soviet Union has proposed
introducing these new rules starting in 1991.
On
the other hand, the EEC, to co-ordinate its own economic relations with
Comecon within a global context and to facilitate reform and
development in Eastern Europe, has proposed to institute a Bank for
Reconstruction and Development. But there is no doubt that the European
Monetary Union and the use of the Ecu as a common currency will
constitute a decisive factor in favour of opening up the Comecon to the
world market and creating the economic conditions for the construction
of a European Common Home.
But with the end to the old international order conceived at Yalta there lurks a serious danger: the rebirth of nationalism.
As
always happens in the transition from an old to a new political order,
there are forces that want the wheel of history to turn back. The forces
of nationalism are once more raising their head; they are at work
everywhere, trying to exploit the space opened up by détente.
The
Cold War and the antagonism between the east and west blocs represented
a factor of cohesion between the alliances and between countries which
no longer exists today. There is an analogy between the current
situation and the period of the First World War, when multinational
empires disintegrated and Europe fell into nationalistic anarchy. Today
the most serious danger is represented by the break-up of the Warsaw
Pact and of the multinational states, such as the Soviet Union or
Yugoslavia. The victory of nationalism would bring Europe once more into
chaos – once more the old continent would be engulfed in bloody
tragedy.
The
epicentre of this potential earthquake is in Germany. The world watched
and rejoiced as the Berlin Wall crumbled, but at the same time it
follows with anxiety the dramatic evolution of events in this country
and listens with troubled mind to the evermore numerous chorus of voices
evoking the ghost of an inevitable German reunification. The problem is
on the agenda and a solution cannot be postponed, for the new
settlement of Germany is the keystone to the new world order which is
arising in Europe. And this means that the question of Germany’s size
and power, which upset the European balance of power and produced two
world wars, once more comes to the fore.
The
creation of a large and powerful country at the centre of Europe could
give West Germany the illusion of independence, which until now it has
sought in European integration. A unified Germany could become an
alternative to European unity.
If
the principle of fusing the state with the nation is to prevail over
the principle of multinational organization of countries and federalism,
the unification of the two Germanies will be only the starting point of
much broader claims over borders, which are destined to radically alter
the map of Europe. In fact, in West Germany there have been ever more
insistent calls for reintegration of the territories east of the
Oder-Neisse line, which belong to Poland.
If
nationalism prevails, we can be sure that other territorial claims will
follow. Indeed, there are German communities in Czechoslovakia,
Hungary, Rumania, Switzerland, France, Belgium, even in the Soviet
Union, and an entire sovereign state, Austria, belongs to the “German
nation”.
All
this would lead to the disintegration of Europe. This threat would also
affect the European Community: on the one hand, the weakened American
dominance has not yet been replaced by a cohesion within the European
Community strong enough to extirpate nationalism forever, while on the
other hand, European unification is (and has always been conceived as
such, from the very beginning) the only alternative to German militarism
and nationalism.
The
solution to the problem of German reunification does not lie in the
fusion of the two Germanies and in the creation of a German
nation-state.
For the moment inter-German relations can be regulated by the proposed “contractual community”, in other words the peaceful
co-existence of two Germanies, bound by a confederal link in the
economic and monetary field, which could allow for the maintenance of present
borders and the respective alliances in the context of the construction of the European Common Home.
Naturally
all this does not eliminate the question of the definitive structure of
German reunification. If the past is to be overcome, however, priority
must be given to European unification. The European Council of Heads of
State and Government, which took place in Strasbourg 8th-10th
December 1989, defined the reference framework for the process of
German reunification: the European Community and the European Conference
on Security and Co-operation. In the context of these two processes,
German reunification will not be the result of dividing and setting
countries up against one another, but the fruit of a process of
integration and pacification.
Relations
between the two Germanies could even become a model and stimulus for
the entire process of rapprochement and integration between the two
Europes. If in fact in the two Germanies the process of disarmament were
to be speeded up and an agreement on the withdrawal of foreign troops
were to be reached quickly, the conditions would be created for starting
the process of economic integration, which would be facilitated by the
fact that the GDR is already almost the thirteenth member of the EEC.
With this in mind, Berlin, which was the symbol of the division of
Europe, could become the capital of the European Common Home. [...]
I now wish to consider the role of the European Community in building the European Common Home.
The
example of the European Community has strongly encouraged the change in
Eastern Europe, serving as point of reference and pole of attraction.
But strengthening the European Community and transforming it into a
European Federation will extend Europe’s international influence. This
represents the best help it can give to further the cause of perestroika.
A European state could play a mediating role in a global system of
states. It will be free from American dominance and become a bridge
between East and West. It will not present itself as the antithesis of
communism, but as the attempt to reconcile democracy and socialism. It
can put a brake on the secessionist tendencies of the Warsaw Pact
countries. It will become the living alternative to the nationalist
model. It will show that nations can coexist peacefully in a federal
context. Finally, it will offer a model for a federal reconstruction of
the Soviet Union.
What
lesson can be drawn from the revolutionary changes now taking place in
Eastern Europe? We must strengthen our efforts to build political unity
in Western Europe. The tendency towards disintegration in the Warsaw
Pact must be met with the formation of a new political order based on
international democracy.
NATO
and the EC must not fall into the temptation of drawing political and
strategic advantages from the changes taking place in the East, and
above all they must firmly reject the idea of drawing Eastern Europe
into their own political orbit. This would look like a challenge to the
Warsaw Pact, and as such could threaten the whole process of reform in
Eastern Europe.
On
the contrary, the problem is the convergence of the two Europes.
European unification is developing within the framework of many
concentric circles. The hard core is composed of the twelve countries of
the European Community, which is evolving into an economic, monetary
and political union. It is divided between those countries committed to
this objective and those against it, such as the United Kingdom. The
second circle is composed of the six countries of EFTA, the free trade
area with which the EEC is preparing, in view of the 1992 deadline, to
renegotiate commercial relations, with the aim of creating a “European
economic space”, within which goods, services, capital and people can
move freely. It is well-known that some EFTA countries, like Austria and
Norway, would like to enter the EEC – a wish that is shared by some
non-EFTA countries, such as Turkey.
The
third circle is formed by the Council of Europe, which now groups the
twenty-three democratic countries of Western Europe, which co-operate in
the field of defending human rights, culture and the environment.
Today, this organization has a new dynamism: it is tending to promote
the development of East-West relations and to open up its own
institutions to East European countries which have begun the process of
democratization. Some of these (Hungary, Poland and Yugoslavia) have
applied to join the Council of Europe, and even the Soviet Union, which
already participates as an observer at the consultative Assembly with a
delegation of parliamentary representatives, could soon become full
members.
The
fourth circle is formed by the thirty-five member countries of the
European Conference on Security and Co-operation (otherwise known as the
Helsinki process), which is to say Eastern and Western Europe, the
Soviet Union, the United States and Canada. With the building of a new
system of international relations based on mutual trust and designed to
promote disarmament, a framework has been created for the development of
East-West co-operation and the spread of democracy. This is the
framework in which, according to Gorbachev, the division between the two
halves of Europe may be overcome in the building of the European Common
Home.
The prospective creation of a Federation of Western Europe, and of perestroika
in Eastern Europe, show that Europe once more occupies a central
position in world politics. Europe may become the starting point for a
process of unification which involves the whole world, even though it is
now limited to one continent, and for the model of a new world order
based on international democracy. In other words, the European Common
Home may be seen as the laboratory of world unification.
The objective of the European Common Home does not constitute a secondary aspect of perestroika: on the contrary, it is a crucial element in defining the meaning of this political project.
Building
the European Common Home represents the answer to a great historical
challenge: to show that it is possible to overcome the rift, formed in
Europe by the Russian Revolution, between the system of democratic
countries with capitalist economies, and the system of socialist
countries.
This
process indicates a direction which does not involve negating the
differences between the countries of East and West, but moves towards
their gradual reduction. The influence which each system has had on the
other was evident even from the period in which they lived isolated and
divided by tension and hostility: particularly the penetration of
elements of socialism into the fabric of Western European society. But
today perestroika is without doubt an expression of the need to
reform the socialist system on the basis of the principles of democracy
and a market economy.
The
bipolar logic of the opposing blocs made democracy coincide with
capitalism and socialism with Stalinism, made it impossible to reconcile
democracy and socialism, and closed the way for any intermediate
position.
The
project of creating ever closer forms of political co-existence between
the two Europes will allow an unprecedented experiment to be carried
out: the attempt to achieve the peaceful co-existence of countries with
different economic and social systems, without depriving them of their
autonomy, on the sole condition that they all have a market economy and
democratic institutions.
At
the same time, this project will represent a potent stimulus for the
renewal of federalism and a challenge to its capacity to face the new
problems of the contemporary world: the creation of a new developmental
model, based on global and articulated planning, on participatory
democracy, on harmony with nature, as an answer not only to the specific
problems of each system, such as the crisis of so-called real
socialism, or the crisis of western democracy and the welfare state, but
also to common problems, such as the building of world peace, the
protection of the environment and aid for development. It
is difficult to foresee the course that will be taken by the process of
Pan-European integration. Nevertheless, my last reflection will concern
this issue.
The
more general framework of this process is, as we have seen, the
Conference for Security and Co-operation in Europe. It is probable that
the development of the Helsinki process will produce the institution a
confederation – necessary to create ever closer political and economic
links between Eastern and Western Europe. This result could be reached
by the institution, together with the Council of Ministers, of a
Parliamentary Assembly, consisting of parliamentary representatives from
all Europe, the Soviet Union and North America. Free elections in
Eastern Europe make this experiment fully practicable.
On
the other hand, because of its interregional dimensions, the European
Common Home will be undermined by a double contradiction. In fact it is
at the same time too big and too small. I have already shown that it
will be too small to manage global problems. Consequently, it will
develop a tendency towards world unity. But it will also be too big to
become a regional pillar of a world federation. It is more likely that
the United States will become a member of a Pan-American federation,
including Latin America, while it is foreseeable that Western Europe and
Eastern Europe will federate with the Soviet Union.
The
institution in the context of which the federative Pan-European process
can take shape will be the Council of Europe. I suggest this hypothesis
not because I believe in the federal potential of this organization,
for in reality it is the weakest of European institutions, but because
it is the most suited to starting the process of co-operation. Gorbachev
has realized this, as his historic speech made to the Council of Europe
on 6th July 1989 proves. After all, did not the integration of Western Europe begin forty years ago within this very organization?
The
signing of the European Convention on Human Rights, which constitutes
the most important achievement of the Council of Europe, would give the
newborn democracies of Eastern Europe an international guarantee. Seen
in this light, these countries’ membership of the Council of Europe may
be viewed as a means of consolidating democracy in Eastern Europe.
On the other hand, the aim of the European Common Home is a fundamental element in defining perestroika.
The fact is that democracy and human rights are not only the common
values which allow the countries of Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union
to unite with Western Europe in a common organization. They are also a
political precondition and a first step on the way towards building a
Pan-European Federation.
From
its outset, the European unification process has experienced a series
of crises, ranging from the collapse of the EDC project, to de Gaulle’s
"empty seat" policy which was ended by the Luxembourg compromise, to the
failure to adopt the Draft Treaty approved by the European Parliament
as a result of Altiero Spinelli’s action. Each of these crises has been
followed by a period marked by stagnation and a lack of direction. Yet
after each hiatus the process has been re-animated by setting short-term
objectives which, although less ambitious than the projects which
initially brought about the crisis, never lost sight of the general
direction of the unification process and its ultimate destination. In
this way, the European Economic Community was created from the ashes of
the EDC, out of the policy of the "empty chair" came the agreement
regarding the financing of the common agricultural policy, the
Community’ s own resources and the European Parliament’ s budgetary
powers, and out of the failure of Spinelli’s Draft Treaty was born the
European Single Act. The reality is that Europe’s states have been
carried along for forty years by a current which, despite pauses and
setbacks, has advanced toward ever-closer integration by guaranteeing a
stable reference point for the expectations of citizens and for the
decisions of political forces.
European
integration has been driven by the process of globalisation, which
destroys everywhere and with increasing momentum the barriers that
hinder the circulation of information, capital, goods and people. It is
making the national dimension of the state obsolete throughout the
world, and is creating also in other regions of the world groups of
states that are being set up with the aim of creating regional markets
sufficiently large to enable them to compete successfully in the great
single global market.
This
imperative gave rise to and pushed forward the European integration
process prior to and to a greater extent than any other similar process
which has manifested itself elsewhere, since the national state
experienced its historic rise and fall in Europe before the other
regions of the world and demonstrated, through fascism and the Second
World War, the tragic consequences of its ever more evident incapacity
to guarantee within its own borders free and secure civil co-habitation
and balanced economic and social progress.
Yet
the European integration process has dragged on for half a century
without reaching federal unification. This has happened because, apart
from some temporary and ephemeral outbursts, the interest to conserve
national sovereignty has obscured the awareness of the need to overcome
it in the minds of European politicians. [...]
Yet
after the end of the Cold War and Gorbachev’s fall the situation is
changed. Today, the American protective umbrella no longer exists, the
hopes that world unification will be achieved in the near future have
dissipated and the fundamental political problems which were left
unresolved must now be confronted without delay. An opportunity to do so
is presented by the deadlines of 1996 to 1999 (Intergovernmental
Conference and the beginning of the third stage of Economic and Monetary
Union), on which occasions the European governments will have to come
to terms with the problem of creating, by means of the single currency, a
democratic and federal institutional structure and a common defence, a
new European political framework which will provide an alternative to
the one America has now ceased to guarantee. Should this great historic
opportunity not be taken advantage of, the movement of long duration
which has so far led Europe toward forms of ever-closer union could
change direction definitively. What is at stake over the next few years therefore is the continuation or otherwise of the European unification process.
Mitterrand,
in his valedictory address to the European Parliament, and Kohl, on
repeated occasions, have posed the problem of the political unity of
Europe as a problem of peace and war. The dramatic nature of their
warning has not been understood. On the other hand, the prospect of war
in Europe, after fifty years of peace, sounds unlikely. Yet it must be
reconsidered in the context (which is entirely realistic) of a world in
which war is nevertheless a recurring fact and of a Europe which would
have departed from the path of unity and which would no longer be
oriented by a solid alliance with the United States in the context of a
rigid but stable world balance. In this context the conflicts which are
external to Europe (above all those which will be carried out on its
borders) would inevitably involve the great European states, and these
will line up on opposing fronts, according to the demands of their
raison d’état, as has already happened in ex-Yugoslavia. Certainly, in
an initial stage, European soil would probably be spared actual military
conflict, if it is true that wars are always fought in the weakest and
most unstable regions of the planet where there exists a power vacuum.
Yet a divided Europe in an anarchic world would be destined to become
itself a weak and unstable region, in which the national powers would be
de-legitimised and fragmented. In this situation the conflicts born
outside Europe would easily spread to Europe itself, and others could
arise inside Europe. The greatest of the benefits which Europeans have
enjoyed for half a century thanks to the integration process, peace,
would be lost. [...]
On
these developments will depend the future of the UN. If it is supported
by the co-operation of a restricted number of great regional
federations of states that are democratic and aware of their world
responsibilities, the UN will be able to carry out an effective action
of peace-keeping and peace-enforcing, confront with success the great
environmental challenges of the planet, launch itself toward its own
democratisation and, in the longer term, acquire a monopoly of the
detention of nuclear arms and of the development of the technology
necessary to guarantee their security. In short, it would assume the
function of a real and effective world government. Conversely,
the UN will be condemned to impotence and will leave the world prey to
disorder should it remain the screen for the sole weak leadership of the
US.
If
Europe’s governments are able to impose in Europe the reasons of
federalism against those of nationalism, the forces for unity will
prevail over those toward disintegration also at the world level, by
giving concrete form and visibility to the perspective of establishing perpetual peace. If they are unable to do this, the threat of a new, long and dark period of disorder and war will descend on the world.
Having
surveyed the most probable consequences of an interruption of the
European unification process, we must ask what are the circumstances
that, if verified, would allow us to determine whether the historic
opportunity Europe is today presented with will have been seized or else
definitively lost. In reality, identifying right now the specific event
which would signal the point of no return of the crisis seems
impossible. In the coming years, Europe will have to face the problems
of the currency, institutional reform, the re-financing of the Community
budget, enlargement and defence. These problems will tend to blend
together into a single great permanent negotiation, in the course of
which priorities will be alternated and alliances will, at least in
part, be modified. There will be moments of serious tension and of
stagnation. Yet no defeat on a single objective will lead of itself to
the end of the process, even if the date of 1st January 1999 which has
been set for the start of the third stage of economic and monetary union
will be crucial. A serious crisis could induce the governments most
deeply involved in the process to gain an increasingly clear awareness
of the nature of the interests at stake, encourage the creation and
consolidation of opposing groups and progressively reinforce their
European will.
The
outcome of the entire matter will nevertheless depend on whether the
governments which today are aware of the need for a European currency
and the greater effectiveness and democracy of the Union’s institutions
are able to go to the very heart of the matter, deriving from this
awareness the consequence that these objectives can be reached only
through the creation of a federal-type state framework.
Furthermore, it will depend on whether (given, as today seems certain,
it prove impossible to obtain from the governments currently opposed to
any significant cession of sovereignty their agreement to a federal
project) the others show the necessary clarity of thought and
determination to proceed alone. This evolution will require time. Yet
the moment will arrive when it will be clear to all whether the
challenge has been successfully overcome or not. Probably only in the
early years of the third millennium will it be possible to establish
beyond reasonable doubt whether the European unification process should
be considered as having failed or whether it will be destined to
continue.
All
predictions concerning the future course of history must be accompanied
by an awareness of their inherent uncertainty. For this reason, it can
not be excluded that the scenario outlined here be revealed incorrect
and that the possible failure of the projects whose fate will be decided
in the coming years will not lead to the end of the European
unification process. It may be that the future will show that the
interdependence acquired over fifty years of integration, although not
consolidated by federal institutions, will be sufficiently strong to
survive a change in the international context. In this case the
perspective of the political unification of Europe will remain in play
for an indefinite period of time, which will allow it to overcome other
serious crises, to keep alive the hopes of citizens, to guide the
decisions of politicians and to preserve peace, prosperity and
democracy, even if in a generally more difficult context. Maybe. Yet
this would mean that the European integration process is by now
irreversible, that is, that the political unification of Europe as
regards its essential aspects has already been accomplished, even if no-one is yet aware of it. [...]
Those
who seek to be actors in the historic process and to pursue the goal of
improving the conditions of human co-habitation must believe that
reason is destined, in the long term, to prevail. Moreover, this is an
attitude which, if it has its foundation in the need to give a sense to
one’s own civil commitment by rooting it in an idea of the historic
process which finds in reason its ultimate driving force, is also backed
up by the observation of actual history which, despite its tumultuous
and tragic nature, has produced over the millennia the enlargement of
the framework of peaceful and democratic co-habitation among people,
from the Greek city-state to the American continental federation. Yet
reason is destined to prevail only in the long term. This means
that a possible historic crisis of the European unification process,
and, above and beyond this, that of world unification, would not mean it
will be impossible for the process to be started again in the future.
It does mean however that a long period of the obscuring of reason could
push Europe to the margins of history and impoverish drastically the
quality of our material and spiritual life for one or more generations.
It is not sufficient in order to exorcise this danger to resort to the
idea of the unstoppable advance of the process of increasing
interdependence among peoples. It should not be forgotten that the same
impulse to increase interdependence which was at the origin of the
European unification process provoked, in the preceding period, fascism
and two world wars, and that the start of the European unification
process itself would not have been possible without the horror with
which people reacted to the experience of oppression and war. What
re-awoke reason (even if only partly) in the post-war period was the
tragic observation of the terrible effects of its lethargy. Yet with the
passing of the decades the memory of those events is fading. And in
order today to give force once again to reason, it is necessary, albeit
while maintaining firm the reference to the past, to turn our attention
to the future and to try and make understood the horrors which could
come to pass within a few years should Europe’s leaders prove unable to
meet their historic responsibilities and should they lack the necessary
clarity of thought and courage to begin, by uniting Europe, the federal
stage of world history.
The Federalist
This analysis is broken down into three parts: first,
we
identify world unification as the only concept on which a valid EU
foreign policy can be based; second, we see that
the premise for the
effective start of a policy of world unification is the full
federalisation of the EU, which implies the overcoming of the
fundamental obstacle that is the international monopolar system and its
replacement with a multipolar system of cooperation. Finally, we look at
the main features of the EU’s defence system, which are clearly
subordinate to the aims of European foreign policy.
1.
The EU is a community of democratic states committed to the
construction of a supranational democratic system, that is (as stated by
the Schuman Declaration, even though there is strong opposition to the
achievement of the ultimate goal), a federation. In the light of this
defining quality — democracy — the concept inspiring EU foreign policy
can be summarised in an expression used by Woodrow Wilson (and in
substance repeated by Roosevelt in 1941) to clarify why the USA had
entered the First World War: “to make the world safe for democracy”.
This
sentence means essentially three things: 1) that the aim of foreign
policy is, generally speaking, to guarantee security in the presence of
external threats; 2) that the security of a democratic state relies on
the presence of an international system that favours the preservation
and development of the democratic system; 3) that there exists a need
not to only to fight anti-democratic and aggressive states, but also,
beyond that, to favour an international situation that is characterised
by a reduction (if not an absence) of violence — given that,
objectively, violence leads to a sacrificing of liberty in favour of
security — and also propitious to economic growth (a condition
fundamental to democratic progress).
That
said, we must clarify what “making the world safe for democracy” means
in the present historical situation. What exactly is this situation?
What are the problems to be faced? Wishing to sum up extremely briefly
the current world situation, an expression coined by Ulrich Beck,
according to whom we are living in the “risk society”, seems to me to be
particularly apt and illuminating.
The
risk society is the transnational global society that has grown up on
the basis of an increasingly profound interdependence prompted by the
advanced industrial revolution and its transition to the post-industrial
or scientific mode of production. The globalised world is the enduring
historical context in which we live and it is a world characterised by
marked contradictions.
On
the one hand, there exists enormous potential for economic, social and
democratic progress for the whole of mankind. On the other, we are
confronted with existential challenges, whose combined effect is to call
into question not just the progress of mankind, but also its very
survival; there can also be no doubt that, dramatically, these
challenges also represent threats to the whole democratic way of life.
Here, I attempt to sum up briefly the three most important of these
challenges, as they are the key components of the security problem of
our age.
The first challenge derives from the existence of global social and economic interdependence in the absence of global government.
It is clear that the wealth of the advanced countries and the prospects
of progress for all the peoples of the world are based on this
interdependence. But equally evident are the enormous contradictions
that this situation generates: a) severe financial and economic crises
that prevent economic growth; b) the fact that just 20 percent of the
world population has at its disposal 80 percent of world resources; this
is clearly the determinant that fuels international terrorism: in a
world that is (with regard to trade, production, information and human
mobility) increasingly integrated, it is a huge anomaly that is bound to
generate fanatic hatred on a large scale, nihilism, religious
fundamentalism, despotism and international adventurism — in short a
climate in which terrorist networks thrive; c) today’s human mobility
and unprecedented levels of emigration are producing a growing spread of
organised crime and also of epidemics.
The second challenge is the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMDs).
Now that the bipolar era is over, the need to guard against the
possibility of wars between superpowers is no longer the central
security issue. The crucial challenge has become that of containing a
global instability that has its roots both in the phenomenon of
globalisation in the absence of global government and in the loss of the
stabilising effect of the bipolar order. The new international
situation favours — in particular through international terrorism and
states on the brink of collapse — the proliferation of WMDs, but, unlike
the Cold War era, the balance of terror cannot serve as an efficient
deterrent, as such a balance presupposes states with fixed territories
that can be destroyed.
The third challenge is the threat of an ecological holocaust, which is so evident that it does not warrant further comment here.
In
this global situation, “making the world safe for democracy” means
finding valid responses to the above-mentioned existential challenges.
And since the main feature of all the challenges that characterise
today’s risk society is the existence of a global society in the absence
of global government, a policy of world unification can be the only
valid response. This policy must take, as its guiding principle, the
grand design — of historical import — of a global federation: a
federation based, in accordance with the subsidiarity principle, on a
system of continental federations, national states, regions and local
communities. The federation is, in fact, the only institutional system capable of achieving democratic government of interdependence.
That said, it is necessary to look at the concrete routes that the
policy of world unification must follow. There are, basically, two such
routes and they are closely related.
The first route is that of regional integration.
Essentially this means exporting Europe’s integration experience to
Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, South-east Asia, and Latin
America, in order to pacify areas where there is conflict (thereby
drastically limiting authoritarian tendencies and military expenditure)
and to form transnational economic systems that, no longer forced to act
as small, individual states, are infinitely better equipped for
economic growth and defence.
In
a broader sense, this is an undertaking that must also embrace a strong
policy for the stabilisation and democratisation of states that already
have continental dimensions (like Russia, China and India), but that
certainly do not qualify as democratic supranational communities. In
short, if it is accepted that European integration (strongly supported
by American policy in its early days) is a grand experiment —
incomplete, but nevertheless highly instructive — in state-building, or
better in the building of the democratic state, then today the time has
come to extend this experience. This means taking real steps towards a
more progressive and peaceful world and at the same time building the
fundamental pillars of the future world federation.
The
second fundamental route that the policy of world unification must
follow is that of the reconstruction and strengthening of global
governance. On one hand, there are enormous
problems that must be faced at global level: devastating economic,
financial and monetary instability; intolerable injustices and
imbalances generated by globalisation; international terrorism;
proliferation of WMDs; violent conflicts; ecological emergencies;
transnational crime. On the other hand, it is not yet possible to
achieve, globally, the close level of transnational integration that can
be achieved on a regional level, where closer interdependence,
proximity, and cultural affinities render possible, if nevertheless
difficult, the construction of supranational institutions that have a
federal vocation. This is not to say, however, that it is not both
necessary and possible, at global level, to achieve global governance by
introducing instruments better equipped to tackle global issues, and
above all by institutionalising a substantial transfer of resources from
rich countries to poor ones, thereby overcoming the destructive
tendency to entrust the market with the task of solving the imbalances
of today’s globalised world.
The
two routes that the policy of world unification must follow are
organically linked and thus reinforce one another. This link emerges
particularly clearly in the debate over the need to reform the UN
Security Council. The only way of strengthening and democratising this
institution is through its regionalisation: the UN Security Council
should be made up of the existing continental states and of the
institutional expressions of regional processes of integration in the
world, starting with the EU of course.
2. The full federalisation of the EU is the premise for the effective start of a policy of world unification.
In
order to grasp this point fully it is necessary to understand that the
world’s large democratic states are the only political subjects able to
implement this policy. First of all, these
states have a particularly vital interest in promoting world
unification, because the existential challenges confronting mankind are
also very real threats to the survival of the democratic system. Indeed,
in a world that is moving towards a heightening and generalisation of
hostilities and that has no perceptible way out of this situation,
democracy is bound to perish. Second, only the world’s large democratic
states have the material resources (economy, technology and capacity for
global action) needed for the construction of international democracy,
and, likewise, the necessary ethical-political resources: only the
democratic system, which is founded on constitutional limitation of
power, can accept the consensual limitation of power at international
level. Another important feature of the democratic states is that they
are home to the strongest and most widespread movements for peace and
supranational solidarity, movements that can put crucial pressure on
democratic governments to move in the direction of federalism.
That
clarified, we must also appreciate that the existing balance of world
power hinders the launching, by the democratic states, of an effective
policy of world unification. Today, there exists only one large
democratic state fully capable of implementing a grand strategy on a
global scale: the United States of America. But, even though this state
has a vested interest in promoting world unification, its objective
power situation constitutes an enormous obstacle to its readiness to
accept the costs inherent in such a policy. There are large economic
costs, given that what is needed is an extension, globally, of the logic
of the Marshall Plan, which means the provision of economic aid on a
large scale (linked to important aid on a security level) in exchange
for an area’s opting for pacification-integration and democratisation.
And there are also considerable costs in terms of the reductions of
sovereignty that are necessary in order to construct a global
institutional system, which, despite being bound, for some time, to have
a confederal physiognomy, would nevertheless introduce a genuine
multilateral, rather than hegemonic, decision-making system.
Two basic factors prevent the USA from accepting these costs.
First,
America occupies a hegemonic position in the current world order. This
hegemony leaves it shouldering, practically alone, the huge
responsibility of guaranteeing world security, and at the same time
encourages the spread of an imperialist mentality throughout American
society and the American governing class, a kind of power vertigo that,
according to Ludwig Dehio, has characterised all the powers that,
throughout history, have risen to such levels of pre-eminence.
Obviously, against this background, there cannot be said to exist within
the USA (which must, let it not be forgotten, be attributed the great
historical merit of defeating fascist totalitarianism, the hegemonic
ambitions of Germany, and subsequently Soviet/communist totalitarianism,
and which also has a vested interest in a policy of world unification)
the political or psychological conditions that would allow it to accept
the costs — in terms of restrictions on its absolute sovereignty and a
reduction of the current unbridled consumerism — that such a policy
would entail.
Second,
the USA, even though it has clear political and military pre-eminence,
no longer enjoys the dominant economic position that it did in the 1940s
and ’50s and that allowed it to finance the Marshall Plan and to take
on the costs of governing the world economy. This relative decline of
the American economy has been reflected in its decision to base the
stability and development of the world economy on market forces
(progressive liberalisation of capital flows, financial deregulation,
progressive reduction of government economic intervention). This was
justified through the imposition, on the world’s main financial and
trade organisations, of the free-market ideology, which in reality meant
the rest of the world having to finance American power.
In
the light of this, it is possible to see the objective basis of the
current American strategy, and thus to appreciate that it cannot be
viewed essentially as a specific choice on the part of the Bush
administration. In reality, in today’s increasingly interdependent
world, which has become a community of destiny, the problem of world
unification is a real challenge that demands a response, and the USA is
prompted by its power situation to respond to this challenge with a
deliberate policy of stable global hegemony, rather than a policy of
world unification. This strategy is implemented, in particular, through
systematic unilateralism — as demonstrated clearly by the United States’
rejection of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and of the Kyoto
Protocol, and its delegitimisation of the UN —, through military
supremacy (which implies massive rearmament), and through a policy of
preventive war (witness Iraq).
This
strategy, which is bound to produce less and not more (as claimed)
stability, shows certain analogies — acknowledging, of course, that the
USA is a democracy and that in the atomic age general wars have become
inconceivable — with the strategy of the European powers in the first
half of the twentieth century. In that era, the challenge confronting
the larger European states was the decline of the nation-state — the
Industrial Revolution had created a need for states of continental
dimensions — but being still powerful, they were not ready to accept the
reductions of their sovereignty on which a process of consensual
unification depended. In this situation, faced with a stark choice:
“empire or federation”, the European powers opted for imperial
expansion, which of course culminated in the German attempt at hegemonic
unification of Europe.
Having
considered the American situation, let us now take a look at Europe’s
position. The EU is a large community of democratic states, whose
deep-seated interest in promoting world unification is reflected in a
tangible trend in this direction. The main manifestations of this trend
are: strong support for the ICC and Kyoto Protocol; widespread support
for a strengthening of the UN; a policy that favours regional
integrations; the fact that the EU and its member states are the leading
contributors of development aid; the fact that the largest movements
for peace and global solidarity are based in Europe; the document
presented by CFSP High Representative Javier Solana to the European
Council in Thessaloniki (June 2003), entitled “A safe Europe in a better
world”, which outlines the role, as guide, that Europe could play in
the world.
It
must also be underlined that Europe’s vocation for a policy of global
unification is deeply rooted in its lack of an imperialist syndrome;
after all, the process of European unification was born of the
catastrophic effects of power politics and founded on the experience of
limitations of sovereignty, and this naturally gives rise to an
inclination to export this experience.
This
clarified, it is, on the other hand, clear that the EU, due to its
incomplete federalisation, is incapable of transforming this natural
vocation into an effective and systematic strategy of world unification.
Full federalisation means: transfer of foreign policy (including
development aid) and defence to a democratic supranational body (i.e.,
the Commission provided, under the control of the European Parliament
and Chamber of States, with the power to construct a single diplomatic
service and a single army); supranational power of taxation, in order to
fund an adequate European budget; the elimination of national rights of
veto on questions of constitutional reform.
Complete
federalisation of the EU would have two consequences, fundamental and
inter-related. On the one hand, the EU would acquire the instruments
allowing it to be an effective actor on the international stage. This is
demonstrated by the effectiveness of the Union’s action in various
sectors (currency, competition policy, trade) in which it is not impeded
by national rights of veto.
On
the other hand, a fully federalised EU would decisively alter the
global equilibrium, as it would be an entity with the capacity to offset
American power, and its presence would mean an end to the situation
that currently prevents the more advanced countries from finding
adequate responses to the challenges of the twenty-first century. In
short, it would mark the passage from unipolarism to pluripolarism,
since this offsetting of American power would also allow China, India,
Russia, Japan and other powers to exert more influence on world affairs.
The pluripolar system of the twenty-first century, unlike that of past
centuries, would be a cooperative multipolar system because,
objectively, the existence of the global risk society acts as a stimulus
for cooperation, for the survival of all. In the final analysis, it
comes down to a choice: unite or perish.
In
this situation, a federalised Europe would have the capacity to do more
than simply initiate a strong policy for world unification; by bringing
an end to America’s exclusive hegemony (and its attendant burdens,
temptations and hubris), it would also have the capacity to involve the
USA in this policy — to convince America to abandon unilateralism, which
after all depends on the existence of a one-sided global equilibrium. A
balanced partnership between the EU and the USA would, in short, act as
the core and the driving force of a policy of world unification.
Here,
a comparison with European-American relations in the 1940s may, once
again, be useful. In that period, the USA brought to an end the central
role, in the world equilibrium, of the European system of states, and
thereby paved the way for the start of the process of European
unification, which saw integration emerging as a concrete alternative to
power politics. Today, a Europe fully federalised through consensual
unification, and not through war, would counterbalance America’s power,
and thus make a vital contribution to America’s own transition from
power politics to multilateralism and consensual unification on a global
scale.
3. Within this framework, it is necessary to clarify the main features of Europe’s defence system.
Let
us begin by considering the concept that inspires European defence
policy. Today (in the global risk society, in which traditional defence
policies are becoming obsolete), the fundamental task facing us, on a
security level, is that of contributing to the construction of an
effective international police force, conceived as an instrument of
state building, which must clearly be supported by development aid, by the creation of an efficient administration, and so on. It
follows, of course, that the creation of a single European army would
strengthen the UN, which must have Europe’s security forces at its
disposal. This choice must be reflected in a formal and solemn
commitment, made through the inclusion of an article in the European
constitution (similar to article 11 in the Italian constitution), which
not only identifies peace as the ultimate aim of the European
federation’s international policy, but also specifies its readiness to
limit its own sovereignty in favour of the UN and the availability of
its armed forces for crisis management and the purposes of international
policing.
This
concept of European defence (European defence as a stage in the
creation of an international policing system) has several very clear
implications: rapid mobility, the capacity for long-term stationing of
forces in hot spots such as the Middle East and Africa (always in the
context of a policy of regional integration), and organic integration
with the action of peace corps. In this regard, the introduction of
compulsory civilian service (which could be carried out at local,
national or supranational level) would be a crucial aspect of Europe’s
role in the world.
A
European foreign and defence policy would have to be accompanied by
serious strategy not just against the proliferation of WMDs, but indeed
for their elimination. This would, crucially, require a commitment
(written in the constitution) to transfer these weapons: in short, the
European Federation would, under the control of the UN (through a
re-launch of the Baruch Plan), inherit WMDs from the national armies.
An issue frequently raised in the debate on European defence is that of
its enormous costs and thus of its incompatibility with the European
welfare state. These arguments fail to take into consideration the fact
that the dimensions of American military expenditure (which is taken as a
point reference) are determined by the United States’ situation as a
single superpower that is striving to respond to the problem of global
governance through the strengthening of its own hegemony. Instead, for
the purposes of a policy of world unification, which a federal Europe
would be equipped to conduct, there would be no need to increase
military spending. One need only consider the enormous waste generated
by the current national division of military expenditure, the lack of
standardised equipment, the dispersion and duplication of research, the
excessive quantity of personnel, and the low level of investment. The
extent of this waste is such that, as things presently stand, we
Europeans would have to spend six times what the Americans spend in
order to produce a comparable military capability. The creation of
federal armed forces would allow huge savings, and thus permit the level
of military efficiency needed to carry out all the security tasks that
it falls to the EU to perform, without increasing (and possibly even
decreasing) the current level of total European expenditure.
What
has been said above should serve to clarify the question of the
relationship between European defence and NATO (and, in more general
terms, between Europe and the USA). It is clear that the autonomy in the
sphere of defence that would be acquired by a federal Europe with a
single defence system would automatically mean an end to the USA’s
protectorate over Europe and lead to a transformation of the Atlantic
Alliance into a genuine partnership of equals: a partnership that would
will be able to act as the core and driving force of a policy of global
unification. In fact, Europe’s dragging of its heels over the need to
construct the European pillar of the transatlantic partnership is a key
factor favouring American imperial strategy: indeed, America is now
deliberately boycotting European unification and thereby undermining
solidarity between the two sides of Atlantic.
Finally,
a comment is needed on the critical relationship between the
intergovernmental approach to defence and the European democratic
process. Here, there exists an insurmountable contradiction. In order to
avoid exacerbating the democratic deficit that characterises European
integration, strict democratic control of the national parliaments, with
regard to the behaviour of the national representatives in defence
cooperation organisations, must be exercised. However, this only makes
the achievement of consensus more difficult, given that the national
parliaments are not responsible for pursuing the common European
interest. On the other hand, intergovernmental cooperation can reduce
its own structural and decision-making inefficiency only by more or less
openly distancing itself from national democratic controls. Hence, in
Europe, only a full parliamentary federation can reconcile
decision-making efficiency with democratic control.
Sergio Pistone
Europe is currently experiencing three major crises. As explained by Alain Touraine in an article published a few months ago in La Repubblica
(29 September, 2010), today’s Europe, “left without a future”, finds
itself contemporaneously assailed by an unprecedented economic and
financial crisis, by a dramatic political crisis (stemming from the
European states’ incapacity to meet the challenges before them, i.e. to
stimulate growth and reduce unemployment — both essential for getting
their public finances in order), and by a profound cultural crisis, born
of the incapacity to formulate a long-term plan for the future
development of European culture and civilisation.
On
all three fronts, our countries are urgently called upon to provide
some answers. In short, Europe now needs to do much more than make minor
adjustments to the existing Community framework. It needs to lay new
foundations for European unification, and this can be done only through a
strong act of political will.
Last
spring saw Greece, the weakest link in the Eurozone chain, rocked by a
financial crisis so severe that it threw into question the very survival
of the monetary union and with it, that of the European Union itself.
This crisis seems to have brought Europe, sharply, face to face with its
own fragility. At the same time, by bringing out the contradictions
that surrounded the birth of the single currency, it also seems to have
forced the states, particularly those in the Eurozone, to appreciate
anew the crucial need to think in terms of a common European destiny.
This brutal exposure of the limits of the present European edifice has
thus opened up a new phase in the process of unification, on whose
outcome hangs the future of our whole continent.
The
euro was the product of economic integration and the single market
project, but also of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the end of the
bipolar world order. The main objective behind its creation was
political: it was considered necessary to strengthen the bonds between
the Europeans in order to render their unity somehow “irreversible”, but
also in order to obtain the binding commitment of Germany, newly
reunified, to the European project. The thinking behind this “wager” —
such may be defined this plan to create a currency without, at the same
time, also creating a state — was that Europe’s political unification,
however gradual, would, in any case, be unchallenged, and that the sense
of solidarity between the European partners would remain constant over
time. The Europeans deluded themselves that the birth of monetary union
would quickly be followed by that of economic union, and by the
implementation of a European growth and development plan. Although it
was clear that the framework of the new European Union was not adequate
to govern the single currency (this was already foreseen by the
Maastricht Treaty, which indicated the need for a reform in this sense),
it was hoped that the integration process would lead to gradual
transfers of sovereignty in the political field too. From the economic
perspective, it was believed that the criteria established by the Treaty
to ensure homogeneity of the Eurozone (those relating to the national
budget deficit, the public debt and inflation) would be sufficient to
set all the members on the road to financial recovery and, providing
there were no asymmetric shocks, guarantee harmonious trends across the
different economies.
Instead
(if we leave aside the euro’s successes as an international currency),
the decade that has just ended saw the emergence and consolidation of
trends, both economic and political, very different from the one that
the introduction of the single currency had been hoped to trigger: the
contradiction inherent in having a currency without a state has not
become any less marked over time, and the steps that were meant to be
advances towards stronger political unity have not been taken; on the
contrary, the absence of adequate European institutions has actually
triggered a gradual weakening of cohesion within Europe. [...]
The
Greek crisis raised the problem of the need to save the euro precisely
because it exposed the instability and contradictions of the single
currency; this implies that the European Union, if it wants to find a
new, sustainable balance, must break away from its past.
Until
now, the response of the European governments and institutions has been
to seek solutions that do not alter the current system. Indeed, behind
the decision to tighten up the existing rules, and all the insistence
that Europe’s difficulties stem from excessive debt, lies a dogged
intention to continue along the old road, in short, a widely-held view
that Europe does not need to create a new “single” policy, only pursue a
course characterised by budgetary rigor. After all, a true European
economic policy would imply a real transfer of sovereignty by the
states, and this is precisely what, at present, Europe’s political
leaders are not prepared to accept. In a speech given in September 2010,
in Paris, during a debate organised by Notre Europe, the
president of the European Council, Van Rompuy, who also heads the Task
Force that, alongside the European Commission, is working out the new
rules of European economic governance, explained extremely clearly the
philosophy currently driving the Council (or rather the governments,
although this actually applies to the Commission, too). According to
him, the sole objective should be “Europeanisation of national
politics”, because it is not a question of overcoming the national
sovereignties, but rather of improving their co-existence. As Van Rompuy
explains, faced with the risk of disintegration of the EU and a
resurgence of nationalism, the point is not to criticise, as excessive,
the weight of national policies; this weight has always been present
within the Union, so why should it be deemed negative and not, instead, a
source of greater strength? Europe is “a fact of life”, he says.
“[W]ith its institutions it can force governments to cooperate”; it is a
real entity that is founded on deep interdependence. The way in which
Europe has reacted to Greece’s debt crisis has shown us “the invisible
[…] forces that hold us together.” Certainly, it has also provided “a
fine example of what you might call the European tortoise: a slow,
hesitant movement at first, which in the end surprised everyone —
including the impatient stock markets!”; but of course, since “the
European Union is not a state, decision-making procedures are
complicated”; in the euro area alone, “we are dealing with 16
governments and 16 parliaments”.
What
lessons, in Van Rompuy’s view, may be drawn from all this? First of
all, that the Union must learn “to live with the dilemma of having a
monetary union without a developed budgetary union. Since the euro was
introduced the European institutions have been responsible for monetary
policy, while the member states remain in charge of their budgetary
policy and coordinate their economic policy. That creates tensions.
Hence the sometimes tortuous decisions.” But the question is: “Can the
euro survive despite this innate tension?” Van Rompuy replies with “an
unambiguous ‘yes’”, commenting: “Our capacity to react during the crisis
clearly showed this”. [...]
The
problem that the Europeans must now resolve is that of creating a
European federal state. This is a fact that has now become clear to all
analysts, economists and, in particular, to the political world,
especially outside Europe, even though few believe that we are capable
of carrying the task through. Yet failure to unite will leave our
countries dramatically impoverished and will lead to a return of social
tensions and discriminations that we thought we had consigned to the
past: in short, the end of European civilisation, with all the
consequences that this would have on the balances of power in the word
as a whole. Such scenarios are a real possibility and not mere academic
hypotheses.
It
is clear, after all, that unless the political balances are radically
changed, even the introduction of tighter rules of economic governance
in Europe will serve no useful purpose (other than having, possibly, a
short-term deterrent effect on some markets). Indeed, at the end of a
dramatic recession that has ushered in a situation of stagnant growth,
how can the states possibly manage to withstand the tensions generated
by swingeing cuts made in the absence of realistic growth prospects? If
it is true that deficit and debt reduction is crucial to prevent Europe
from being bullied by the markets, why is it that the action of other
countries in similar economic straits is not conditioned in the same way
(Japan for example, to say nothing of the United States)? And why is it
that Europe should be the region picked out, on the international
financial markets, as the weakest link? How long can the European states
struggle on in these conditions? As English historian Niall Ferguson,
referring to EMU, pointed out in a book published a decade ago (The Cash Nexus: Money and Power in the Modern World, 1700-2000),
history can give us only examples of how monetary unions fall apart
when national fiscal policy demands become incompatible with the
constraints imposed by a single currency.
Van
Rompuy’s question of whether the euro can survive in the current
international setting despite the structural handicap of being a
currency with sixteen different and diverging fiscal and economic
policies, would thus hardly seem to warrant his “unambiguous ‘yes’”, a
reply both optimistic and unexplained. The problem of Europe is that,
through the Community method, it has relinquished the possibility of
conducting politics at European level; at the same time, the states have
been left totally powerless by the depth of their inadequacy and their
crisis at national level. This is the real reason for the weakness of
Europe, which has become a continent that no longer plans for the
future, that has lost the capacity to conceive of an original model of
economic development, and in which investment of resources and
mobilisation of society with a view to progress have become things of
the past.
The
point, then, is this: if the current crisis is forcing the states to
start seeing things, once again, from a European perspective, on pain of
disintegration of the Union, our first task must be to remove all the
ambiguity that surrounds the term “European”. Clearly, the answer to the
crisis is not to try and increase the competences or powers of control,
necessarily conflicting, of the Commission, the European Parliament, or
the Council. Such attempts (which, moreover, run the risk of being
misleading) would only strengthen the reciprocal constraints and would
inevitably lead to unrealistic economic recovery plans (of the kind
repeatedly proposed and repeatedly seen to be worthless). Neither is it
realistic to hope that, with the institutional instruments at its
disposal, the EU is, today, already in a position to increase its
budget, issue Union bonds to fund European economic recovery policies,
assume powers of taxation, and begin harmonising the fiscal systems of
the member states; to hopethis is to fail to see that these are all
steps that cannot be taken unless the states first display a clear will
to unite politically. This, therefore, is the real issue: to understand how and whether
this will can be elicited, at least in some of the states, and in
particular in those with the most developed European consciousness,
France and Germany first and foremost.
The questions to be asked, then,
are: how might it be possible to bring about a return to the original
European project, whose aim was to build a European federal state, and
also to make people aware, once again, that a currency is an integral
part of a state that, to work properly, must be set within an
appropriate institutional framework and be part of an overall political
programme? How can we make people aware, once again, that a currency, if
it is to last, cannot for long remain divorced from fiscal policy, or
from foreign and security policy; in short, from political sovereignty? [...]
But
turning this project into a solid prospect will demand the effort and
commitment of everyone: citizens and society generally must start
believing in it once again, not just wishing for it without any real
hope of it happening. The question of Europe’s political future must
become the main focus of political debate at European and at national
level; in other words, as in the past, this issue needs to mobilise
minds, so that ideas can be translated into action. Within Italy, France
and Germany, in particular, given that these are the three countries
that, for historical as well as political and economic reasons, are
still the front on which the battle to build Europe will be won or lost,
it has to become clear that the Europeans are faced with a choice of
civilisation. It has to become clear it is the responsibility of these
countries, first of all, to take the initiative in this sense, aware
that the realisation of the federal state project depends on the
presence of a vanguard to lead the way.
The
road to be travelled is a difficult one, but the dramatic nature of the
alternative makes it feasible that the states will be forced to set out
on it. But for them to be able to do so — and this is indeed the first
condition —, they need to have, as a guide, a clear vision of the
ultimate objective. And this brings us to the first responsibility of
those fighting for the European federation: to expose false solutions
and point out, indefatigably, the road to be taken in order to build
true unity.
The Federalist
33 de comentarii :
"caseta de traducere de pe coloana din dreapta a blogului"
Eu n-o gasesc
"Select language", sub "profil". O să pun "Translate" deasupra, să se ştie ce este.
Gata, am gasit.Mersi !
Cand vad la ce nivel profesional abordeaza presa si majoritatea blogerilor ( pro EuroBase) aceste subiecte mi se face lehamite de tot. Isi vine sa ma duc unde vad cu ochii, cat mai repede, ca sa nu ma infectez.
Parte din ei sunt infectaţi de lecturarea "Dilemei" şi a "22"-ului (sport de care m-am lăsat de vreo câţiva ani buni, după ce m-am dumirit ce şi cum; eram RĂU intoxicat pân'atunci). Alţii încă nu s-au trezit. Altora încă nu le vine să creadă ce vad şi ce aud. Ăştia sunt cei de bună-credinţă.
Ceilalţi sunt angrenaţi în diverse coterii, alţii sunt sub acoperire, unii dintre ei prestează, alţii aşteaptă să fie remarcaţi si să li se dea şi lor o ciozvârtă... Când gazda va muri, paraziţii vor căuta altă gazdă.
Asa e.
Cel mai mult ma distreza cei care asteapta ciozvarta :)
Cand vad ca nu vine, lasa blogu' la altii :)
Sa vedem daca se duce la ciozvarta( S.Lazaroiu) sau la tinichigerie ....
http://www.blogary.ro/2011/06/munca-l-a-facut-pe-om/
Acum Bleen prestează la "22". Om de dreapta, ce mai...
'telectual, ce mai ! A studiat la "seral"
Era noapte, şi unii l-au "iluminat". ;-)
Da, l-au ridicat din "ţarana"
vedeti pe gandul...UE nu sustine comasarea judetelor pana in 2013, sau ma rog, daca o face vom pierde toate contractele semnate cu CJ desfiintate. Si nici 2013 atunci nu e musai sa schimbam ceva. Deci smuceala asta e a lui Basescu si a sfetnicilor lui.
Boc, iesi din lat cat mai poti.
"
Din răspunsul DG Regio reiese, de asemenea, că oficialii de la Bucureşti riscă să piardă fonduri europene, aşa cum au declarat, însă nu dacă lasă harta administrativă aşa cum este acum, ci exact invers, respectiv dacă o schimbă când nu trebuie.
"Programul operaţional pentru perioada actuală de programare (2007 - 2013, cu termen limită de implementare în decembrie 2015) respectă legislaţia UE şi trebuie implementat în concordanţă cu structurile administrative şi de management actuale, aşa cum s-a precizat iniţial în program", se precizează în răspunsul obţinut de gândul.
"Programul operaţional pentru perioada actuală de programare (2007 - 2013, cu termen limită de implementare în decembrie 2015) respectă legislaţia UE şi trebuie implementat în concordanţă cu structurile administrative şi de management actuale, aşa cum s-a precizat iniţial în program"
În ceea ce priveşte posibilitatea "redesenării" administrative a României pe viitor, oficialii DG Regio au explicat că în ceea ce priveşte următorul program al fondurilor europene, de după 2013, România poate propune fie aceeaşi organizare administrativă, fie alta, decizie care este în totalitate în responsabilitatea statului."
E ca la nebuni. Ceva o fi totuşi plănuit. Să vedem cum se încheie sesiunea parlamentară şi ce va fi cu angajarea răspunderii.
Ai citit asta :
http://delaepicentru.wordpress.com/2011/06/10/%E2%97%8F-bypass/
O aiureală. Nu există aşa ceva. Nu ai majoritate calificată care să se pronunţe asupra Constituţiei, nu poţi trece de parlament.
Apar dovezi ca, paradoxal, aderarea la UE ne fereste de modificarea asta intempestiva si arbitrara a judetelor. E aproape sigur ca nu se va face pana in 2013 si daca se va face...se va face dupa o matura chibzuinta si foarte greu. Daca voiam sa modificam judetele si regiunile, trebuia sa o facem inainte de aderare pentru ca acum se ivesc o gramada de complicatii. Acum regiunile sunt o conventie statistica...judetele au personalitate juridica si sunt raspunzatoare pe bani. Iata ce probleme apar:
1) Se pierd contractele pe Regio semnate cu CJ (60% sunt semnate) e vorba de aproape 1 miliar de euro. Noul exercitiu incepe in 2013...insa fonduri se pot absorbi pana in 2015, deci practic nu poti sa comasezi CJ pana in 2015 ca alea sunt pe contracte. Poti sa ai in paralel si CR (asta daca reusesc sa modifice Constitutia pana atunci)cu care sa se faca contracte la nivel regional pe noul exercitiu din 2013. O nebunie, mai multi functionari pana in 2015!
2) Actualele regiuni sunt mai ales niste regiuni de raportare statistica, entitati NUTS si judetele sunt entitati NUTS de alta categorie. Exista un regulament al eurostat ca entitatile NUTS nu pot fi modificate fara o analiza prealabila si un preaviz catre eurostat de 2 ani. Deci judetele...nu le poti redesena prin asumarea raspunderii si fara analize si argumente.
Cel mai devreme judetele ar putea fi comasate in 2013 si ar trebui deja sa fie gata argumentatia si studiul de impact, cum sa faca plati CJ desfintate dupa 2013...ori nu sunt.
3) La nivel declarativ UE nu ne impune alte euroregiuni sau ca astea de acum aiba alt statut juridic nici macar pentru 2013.
"În ceea ce priveşte posibilitatea "redesenării" administrative a României pe viitor, oficialii DG Regio au explicat că în ceea ce priveşte următorul program al fondurilor europene, de după 2013, România poate propune fie aceeaşi organizare administrativă, fie alta, decizie care este în totalitate în responsabilitatea statului."
Spunea Sorin Ionita ca in Ungaria e o situatie similara cu a Ro (regiuni pe hartie, judete cam la fel de mari)si asta nu ii impiedica sa atraga mai multe fonduri ca noi, deci problema nu e la dimensiunea judetelor si regiunilor si nici la statutul lor juridic.
PolVoş, consigliera lu' Piticu', vorbeste despre probleme după 2013-14:
Andreea Paul Vass: Proiectul de reorganizare administrativă este şi al preşedintelui şi al guvernului
Nu am auzit un argument convingător din care să reiasă că "regiunile de dezvoltare" nu pot gestiona proiecte macro.
Cine are interesul sa regionalizeze Romania ? Nemtii, rusii, francezii, UE sau toti deodata? Guvernanta globala in frunte cu Soros !
Doar astia il preseaza pe Basescu sa promoveze asa ceva .
Basescu a devenit marioneta lor
Vor încerca nişte chestii cât mai e obama la Biroul Oval. Am zis demult, Obama e agentul inamic principal.
Anumite evoluţii ar fi fost de neimaginat cu un Reagan sau un Bush.
Ma aştept cât de curând la punerea în discuţie a NATO, e un spin în coasta lor.
1) a zis basescu ca daca un DJ trece in alt judet e o problema, ca trebuie licitat segmentul alalt separat si ca daca nu castiga tot firma aia, costurile cresc. ABERATII...pe autostrazi au facut loturi si de 20 de km...si le-au lictat separat ca e mai putin riscant daca dai peste un neserios sa iti reziliezi 20 km decat 50 km. Pe DJ de ce ar fi diferit? Poate pentru ca spaga e mai grasa si se vede mai putin la un contract mare, nu? Si proabil contractele astea mari sa le ia tot regii de bine sau niste duci in formare, sa nu fie concurenta cu firme locale...bleah, cica dezvoltare regionala. Cand au fost 10K de km de reabilitat de la buget a mers totul struna fara regiuni, cand e vorba de cateva mii de km pe fonduri europene nu mai merge. Diversiune securista, tocmai aceasta decupare marunta te ajuta sa vezi unde se da spaga, si cat.
2) Vass e factotum...si ea si Boc nu stiu cum sa execute ordinul de la epicentru, asta le ocupa tot timpul. Prima reactie a unui intelectual din guvern ar fi nu sa zica "sa traiti, se lucreaza"...ci de ce nu se poate. Nu Vassa, Udrea ar trebui intrebata cum face si ce a negociat cu CE. Acum sa vad cat e de competenta...
Ehe...
repet a doua oara, surpriza zilei de ieri a fost ca, la intrebarea directa, UE Regio spune oficial ca nu stie nimic de brambureala asta, daca o facem pana in 2013 o sa pierdem bani, ba chiar transpare din raspuns ca varianta lor ar fi sa nu se schimbe nimic si din 2013 incolo, ca mai avem drepturi de tragere pe vechea structura judeteana pana in 2015, dar oricum nu se baga. Deci judetele nu pot fi comasate dpdv UE in urmatorii 5 ani...fara sa pierdem bani.
Regiunile nu pot deveni entitati juridice decat dupa decembrie 2013 si pentru asta e nevoie de modificarea constitutiei in prealabil. Ele vor trebui sa functioneze in paralel cu judetele macar 2 ani...deci cutzu o sa ii creada la referendum ca vor economisi bani cu chestia asta.
Voila... des triples buses.
Inteleg ca va veni pe-aici Netanyahu pentru statul palestinian.
Sunt curioasa daca se rasucesce Basescu......
Netanyahu, "pentru ?". Poate Abbas.
Israelienii, spre deosebire de europeni, nu dau doi bani pe lătrături, fie ele ambalate în rezoluţii ONU. "Want Jerusalem ? COME AND TAKE IT !".
http://www.hotnews.ro/stiri-international-8783315-benjamin-netanyahu-efectua-vizita-oficiala-romania-urmatoarele-saptamani.htm
cred ca UDMR-ul e de vina cu proiectul lor de re-regionalizare. Preocupati de tinutul lor secuiesc, habar nu aveau ca fiind in primul rand o unitate statistica si nu politica sau administrativa, modificarea depinde de acordul eurostat si nu ajunge doar asumarea raspunderii.
Asa s-a dus sefu' la Lozaroiu:
- Ei...cum sa exploatam chestia asta electoral? UDMR preseaza, poate o sa fie nevoie sa trecem la vechea regiune autonoma maghiara, ia de intoarce chestia asta ca sa fie o chestie pozitiva in ochii publicului, si sa luam puncte si noi.
-Da, sef! e bun refrenu' asta? : reforma, modernizare, desfiintare judetelor ceausiste (si trecerea la regiunile staliniste, deh), mai multi bani de la UE, scaderea coruptiei...?
(ma rog, are sondajele si stie care sunt cuvintele cheie pentru bizoni, trebuie doar sa le puna in versuri)
-Bun, pune versurile pe cantec, a zis sefu'
Si acum bietu' Boc cu Vass trebuie sa execute melodia. Si daca la noi mai merge cu propaganda, si cuvnte cheie...dar la astia de la Regio nu prea mere sa le pui vorbe in gura si la eurostat le faci tu regulamentul.
Daca era dupa ei, sotto mai executau o asumare si la 1 iulie judetele erau comasate si in iunie viitor alegeam deja la consiliile judetene sud-vest, nord-est centru-nord-sud si etc.
Poate...mai castigau si puncte: vedeti cum i-am cumintit pe astia de la UDMR si nu le-am dat tinutul secuiesc?
A picat bine mutarea lui Tokes cu Ţinutul Secuiesc, le-a dat peste ţurloaie ălora cu regionalizarea, s-a trezit şi bizonu' electoral din rumegat coceni, şi i-a tras înapoi cel puţin 1-2 ani, cel puţin până în 2012.
Sunt curios cum se va încheia sesiunea parlamentară.
Da, s-au trezit nitel
CTP a nimerit-o:
"Dl Băsescu vrea să înşele Istoria cu Geografia
...
Dârdora geografică ce i-a cuprins pe guvernanţi nu ţine de fondurile europene, ci de alegerile româneşti din 2012. Aidoma lui Dej şi Ceauşescu, dl.Băsescu şi ai săi urmăresc să-şi întărească controlul în teritoriu cu ocazia unei asemenea reîmpărţiri pentru a forţa rezultatele electorale în condiţiile popularităţii prăbuşite a PDL. Reînfiinţarea unui soi de Regiune Autonomă Maghiară contra voturi ar putea fi un târg oricând posibil.
Dincolo însă de acest nivel al machiaverlâcului politic, apare încă o dată, după planul de revizuire a Constituţiei, "complexul Cuza" care-l bântuie pe dl. Băsescu. Conştient că din mandatele lui nu rămâne mai nimic sub specia Istoriei, dl. Preşedinte se dă de ceasul morţii să-şi marcheze epoca în calitate de "reformator". Dacă în toţi aceşti ani, obsedat de bătălii meschine, n-a reuşit să schimbe România, măcar să schimbe harta României.
Dacă poporul e prost, leneş şi nu-l merită pe dl. Băsescu, atunci măcar să aibă şi domnia-sa, ca orice autocrat care se respectă, o Românie desenată în capul lui"
RAM duce la pierdere de voturi în Transilvania pt PDL (acolo e fieful principal). Rămân la concluzia ca era o tema restantă, si EuroBăse a dat lovitura de începere a meciului, fara o echipă construita în timp şi fără o tactică de joc clară, poate doar faulturi care ar urma să ignorate de arbitrii proprii. Subţire tactica, dacă asta e.
Noroc ca avem observatori UEFA in tribune si aia nu sunt romani.
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